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US Stocks Rally on Hopes of Iran Deal Easing Energy Turmoil

U.S. stock markets experienced a notable rally on Monday, driven by optimism that a tentative agreement to end conflict with Iran could restore stability to global energy supply chains. The disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz in recent months had previously impacted these chains.

Major Indices See Gains

The benchmark S&P 500 index climbed 1.7 percent, bringing it close to its all-time high. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite saw a more substantial increase of 3.1 percent. This surge was partly influenced by a significant 19.6 percent jump in SpaceX, following its record-breaking market debut on Friday, which also led to the creation of the world’s first trillionaire, Elon Musk.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, a blue-chip index, advanced 0.9 percent to close at a new record high. In commodity markets, Brent crude futures, a key indicator for global oil prices, fell by nearly 5 percent, trading just above $83 a barrel, marking the lowest price point since the initial week of the conflict.

Asian Markets Follow Suit

Asian stock markets also extended their gains on Monday. After a subdued start to the trading day, indices built on the previous day’s momentum, which was spurred by news of the deal between the United States and Tehran. Japan’s Nikkei 225 briefly surpassed the 70,000 mark for the first time before settling around a 0.6 percent increase as of 04:45 GMT. South Korea’s KOSPI, which has been the best-performing major index this year, rose by over 2.1 percent. Taiwan’s TAIEX was up 0.6 percent, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index experienced a decline of 1.25 percent.

Investor Sentiment Shifts

Jay Goldberg, a senior analyst for tech-related equities at Seaport Research Partners, commented that the announcement of the US-Iran deal had shifted investor sentiment towards increased risk appetite. He explained that the previous investor debate balanced strong AI spending against ongoing conflict. With the apparent end of the war, one side of that argument has been removed, leading investors to feel more comfortable taking on additional risk.

Energy Market Outlook

Despite the positive outlook for global energy markets, analysts anticipate that it will take several months for energy flows to fully normalize. This is attributed to a significant backlog of vessels waiting to transit the Strait of Hormuz and the ongoing need to ensure the waterway is free of potential Iranian naval mines. According to the International Shipping Chamber, approximately 500 ships are currently awaiting passage through the strait, which typically handles about one-fifth of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas supplies.