{"id":1419,"date":"2025-11-12T12:12:07","date_gmt":"2025-11-12T12:12:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/?p=1419"},"modified":"2025-11-13T12:34:59","modified_gmt":"2025-11-13T12:34:59","slug":"bihar-election-results-nitish-kumars-supremacy-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/2025\/11\/12\/bihar-election-results-nitish-kumars-supremacy-again\/","title":{"rendered":"Bihar Election Results: Nitish Kumar\u2019s Supremacy Again?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<!-- Quick Adsense WordPress Plugin: http:\/\/quickadsense.com\/ -->\n<div class=\"9fece8afa224fd09e54b043d0febfb58\" data-index=\"1\" style=\"float: none; margin:10px 0 10px 0; text-align:center;\">\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- NR ATF -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-8898941184964366\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4839033563\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"323\" data-end=\"786\"><em>As the high-stakes Bihar Assembly elections conclude, the state has witnessed a historic voter turnout of 66.91 per cent.<\/em><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"323\" data-end=\"786\">This event has been marked as one of the most participative elections in recent history.\u00a0The initial exit polls released after the two-phase polling suggest that the <strong data-start=\"581\" data-end=\"619\">National Democratic Alliance (NDA)<\/strong> is likely to form the next government in the 243-member Bihar Legislative Assembly, while <strong data-start=\"710\" data-end=\"748\">Prashant Kishor\u2019s Jan Suraaj Party<\/strong> appears to have made barely any impact.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"323\" data-end=\"786\"><strong>While most metrics give an edge to the NDA, when it comes to the preferred chief minister, RJD&#8217;s Tejashwi Yadav is preferred as the CM by quite a margin.<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"788\" data-end=\"1017\">The counting of votes will take place on November 14, deciding whether Chief Minister <strong data-start=\"878\" data-end=\"894\">Nitish Kumar<\/strong> retains his power or <strong data-start=\"912\" data-end=\"930\">Tejashwi Yadav<\/strong>, the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) leader and Mahagathbandhan\u2019s front face, manages an upset.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"788\" data-end=\"1017\">Read More: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/reel\/851164847293311\">Facebook<\/a><\/p>\n<h2><strong>What is an Exit Poll?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Exit polls are conducted by researches who directly speak with voters regarding which party they have voted for, after which they compile the data and come up with predictions ahead of the actual results. Exit polls are revealed on the last day of election soon after voters leave the polling stations.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1024\" data-end=\"1061\"><strong data-start=\"1027\" data-end=\"1061\">Exit Polls Hint at NDA Victory<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1063\" data-end=\"1250\">According to multiple exit poll projections, the NDA is set to secure a comfortable majority, with estimates ranging between <strong data-start=\"1188\" data-end=\"1209\">130 &#8211; 209 seats<\/strong> \u2014 well above the required majority mark of 122.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"1252\" data-end=\"1513\">Pollsters such as <strong data-start=\"1270\" data-end=\"1289\">Matrize, P-Marq<\/strong>, and <strong data-start=\"1295\" data-end=\"1313\">People\u2019s Pulse<\/strong> indicate that the ruling alliance (NDA), buoyed by Prime Minister <strong data-start=\"1374\" data-end=\"1406\">Narendra Modi\u2019s \u201cguarantees\u201d<\/strong> and Chief Minister <strong data-start=\"1426\" data-end=\"1462\">Nitish Kumar\u2019s development model<\/strong>, continues to enjoy the electorate\u2019s confidence.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1515\" data-end=\"1714\">In contrast, the <strong data-start=\"1532\" data-end=\"1551\">Mahagathbandhan<\/strong> (Grand Alliance) \u2014 comprising of the <strong data-start=\"1586\" data-end=\"1621\">RJD, Congress and Left parties<\/strong> \u2014 is expected to trail significantly, with projected tallies between <strong data-start=\"1691\" data-end=\"1711\">70 &#8211; 102 seats.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><strong>Axis My India Releases Predictions<\/strong><\/h2>\n<h2><\/h2>\n<h2><span style=\"font-size: 16px\">Axis My India&#8217;s predictions are known to be quite accurate and reliable.<\/span><\/h2>\n<div>\n<ul>\n<li>Their exit polls indicate that the votes are divided in Bihar almost equally between the two chief coalitions when it comes to a geography-wise analysis. While the <strong>NDA edges out the competition with 43%,<\/strong> the MGB is slightly behind at 41%.<\/li>\n<li>In terms of gender comparison, <strong>men are in favour of the MGB<\/strong>, women prefer the NDA. This probably hinges on Nitish Kumar&#8217;s ban on alcohol in the state, which has found him a strong support base among the women of Bihar.<\/li>\n<li>The MGB has stronger support from students, labourers, and farmers, while the <strong>office-goers<\/strong> and self-employed individuals, along with housewives, <strong>are on the NDA&#8217;s side<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>The exit poll also highlights a familiar pattern in <strong data-start=\"1167\" data-end=\"1194\">caste-based preferences<\/strong>. The NDA maintains a comfortable edge across most sub-castes, while the MGB continues to dominate primarily among the <strong data-start=\"1313\" data-end=\"1345\">Yadav and Muslim communities<\/strong>, two groups that have traditionally been its strongholds.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><strong>Today&#8217;s Chanakya Predictions<\/strong><\/h2>\n<h2><\/h2>\n<div>\n<ul>\n<li>Their exit polls have projected a comfortable win for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Janata Dal-United (JD-U) in the assembly elections.<\/li>\n<li>For the NDA, Today&#8217;s Chanakya has projected about 160 seats, with a margin of error of 12. Meaning the BJP and JDU-led alliance is projected to win between 148 and 172 seats.<\/li>\n<li>For the RJD-led Mahagathbandhan, the pollster has projected 77 seats with a margin of error of 12 seats, making it a 65-89 window.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h3 data-start=\"1911\" data-end=\"1969\"><strong data-start=\"1914\" data-end=\"1969\">Tejashwi Yadav Alleges Attempt to Influence Results<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1971\" data-end=\"2151\">Even as the exit polls favor the NDA, RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav has accused the ruling coalition of attempting to &#8216;manipulate&#8217; the election results ahead of the counting day.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"2153\" data-end=\"2430\">The people of Bihar have voted for change. These exit polls are designed under the direction of the BJP\u2019s top leadership and hold no truth, as per an explosive statement made by Yadav.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2153\" data-end=\"2430\">He expressed his confidence that the <strong data-start=\"2340\" data-end=\"2354\">INDIA bloc<\/strong> will register a &#8216;thumping victory&#8217; once the actual results are announced.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2432\" data-end=\"2602\">Meanwhile, anticipation is running high in Patna, where BJP workers have already begun preparations for celebrations, expecting a favorable outcome for the NDA.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 data-start=\"2609\" data-end=\"2671\"><strong data-start=\"2612\" data-end=\"2671\">Prashant Kishor\u2019s Jan Suraaj Party Fails to Make a Mark<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2673\" data-end=\"2872\">Political strategist-turned-politician Prashant Kishor, who entered the fray with high expectations through his Jan Suraaj Party (JSP), appears to have failed to strike a chord with voters.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"2874\" data-end=\"3043\">Despite ambitious outreach campaigns and promises of a new political model, multiple exit polls predict that Jan Suraaj may win anywhere between <strong data-start=\"3023\" data-end=\"3040\">0 &#8211; 5 seats<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"3045\" data-end=\"3190\">According to the <strong data-start=\"3062\" data-end=\"3087\">News18 Mega Exit Poll<\/strong>, Kishor\u2019s party has performed poorly, falling short of the widespread traction many had anticipated.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"3192\" data-end=\"3413\">If these predictions hold, the setback may force Kishor to reassess both his political messaging and strategy in the state, which remains crucial given Bihar\u2019s influence with <strong data-start=\"3367\" data-end=\"3389\">40 Lok Sabha seats<\/strong> in national politics.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-1421 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/WhatsApp-Image-2025-11-12-at-4.32.44-PM.jpeg\" alt=\"Bihar elections 2025, Bihar assembly exit poll results, NDA victory prediction, Nitish Kumar, Tejashwi Yadav, Prashant Kishor, Jan Suraaj Party, Bihar voter turnout, Bihar women voters, Mahagathbandhan, Bihar election results date, Bihar counting day, Bihar development, Bihar FDI, Bihar politics.\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/WhatsApp-Image-2025-11-12-at-4.32.44-PM.jpeg 1200w, https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/WhatsApp-Image-2025-11-12-at-4.32.44-PM-300x169.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/WhatsApp-Image-2025-11-12-at-4.32.44-PM-1024x576.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/WhatsApp-Image-2025-11-12-at-4.32.44-PM-768x432.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"3420\" data-end=\"3486\"><strong data-start=\"3423\" data-end=\"3486\">Women Outvote Men: A Landmark in Bihar\u2019s Democratic History<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"3488\" data-end=\"3664\">Beyond political predictions, the <strong data-start=\"3522\" data-end=\"3546\">2025 Bihar elections<\/strong> have made history for another reason \u2014 they have emerged as the <strong data-start=\"3611\" data-end=\"3661\">most gender-inclusive polls since Independence<\/strong>.\u00a0For the first time ever, <strong data-start=\"3691\" data-end=\"3723\">women voters outnumbered men<\/strong> in both phases of polling, underscoring a remarkable social and political transformation in the state.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3488\" data-end=\"3664\">Read More: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/reel\/851164847293311\">Facebook<\/a><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li data-start=\"3832\" data-end=\"3901\"><strong data-start=\"3832\" data-end=\"3844\">Phase 1:<\/strong> Female turnout was <strong data-start=\"3864\" data-end=\"3880\">7.48% higher<\/strong> than male turnout.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"3904\" data-end=\"3973\"><strong data-start=\"3904\" data-end=\"3916\">Phase 2:<\/strong> Female turnout was <strong data-start=\"3936\" data-end=\"3952\">9.93% higher<\/strong> than male turnout.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p data-start=\"3975\" data-end=\"4164\">Analysts note that Bihar\u2019s new political narrative now extends beyond caste equations,\u00a0emphasizing <strong data-start=\"4080\" data-end=\"4119\">gender participation and governance<\/strong> as defining forces shaping voter behavior.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"4171\" data-end=\"4229\"><strong data-start=\"4174\" data-end=\"4229\">Economic Backdrop: Jobs, Migration, and Development<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"4231\" data-end=\"4366\">While governance and social welfare continue to dominate Bihar\u2019s political discourse, economic stagnation remains a pressing concern.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"4368\" data-end=\"4626\">Bihar spends nearly <strong data-start=\"4388\" data-end=\"4436\">half of its total revenue on welfare schemes<\/strong>, a model that has long characterized its governance approach.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"4368\" data-end=\"4626\">However, the lack of industrial growth and private investment continues to push the youth toward migration in search of jobs.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"4368\" data-end=\"4626\">In <strong data-start=\"4631\" data-end=\"4645\">FY 2024\u201325<\/strong>, Bihar attracted only <strong data-start=\"4668\" data-end=\"4719\">$215 million in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)<\/strong> \u2014 among the lowest in India.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"4368\" data-end=\"4626\">Despite a large youth demographic, one in every four voters being under 30, many residents still earn <strong data-start=\"4851\" data-end=\"4881\">less than INR 6,000 per month<\/strong>, highlighting the state\u2019s urgent need for employment-driven growth.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-1422 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/WHITE-KITC-4.jpg\" alt=\"Bihar elections 2025, Bihar assembly exit poll results, NDA victory prediction, Nitish Kumar, Tejashwi Yadav, Prashant Kishor, Jan Suraaj Party, Bihar voter turnout, Bihar women voters, Mahagathbandhan, Bihar election results date, Bihar counting day, Bihar development, Bihar FDI, Bihar politics.\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/WHITE-KITC-4.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/WHITE-KITC-4-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/WHITE-KITC-4-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/WHITE-KITC-4-768x432.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"5148\" data-end=\"5209\"><strong data-start=\"5151\" data-end=\"5209\">NDA\u2019s Governance Model vs. Mahagathbandhan\u2019s Challenge<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"5211\" data-end=\"5467\">The election outcome will ultimately determine whether <strong data-start=\"5266\" data-end=\"5282\">Nitish Kumar<\/strong>, Bihar\u2019s longest-serving Chief Minister and <strong data-start=\"5327\" data-end=\"5336\">JD(U)<\/strong> president, secures yet another term \u2014 backed by the BJP-led NDA \u2014 or if the <strong data-start=\"5413\" data-end=\"5438\">RJD-Congress alliance<\/strong> manages to regain control.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"5469\" data-end=\"5695\">The NDA\u2019s campaign revolved around themes of infrastructure, welfare, and Modi\u2019s development narrative.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"5469\" data-end=\"5695\">While the Mahagathbandhan focused on <strong data-start=\"5614\" data-end=\"5665\">unemployment, inflation, and governance fatigue<\/strong> under the ruling coalition.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 data-start=\"5702\" data-end=\"5759\"><strong data-start=\"5705\" data-end=\"5759\">Countdown to November 14: The Final Verdict Awaits<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"5761\" data-end=\"5948\">As Bihar gears up for the <strong data-start=\"5787\" data-end=\"5828\">vote counting on November 14 (Friday)<\/strong>, all eyes are on Patna where political parties are preparing for contrasting outcomes \u2014 celebration or introspection.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"5950\" data-end=\"6115\">If exit polls are accurate, <strong data-start=\"5978\" data-end=\"5994\">Nitish Kumar<\/strong> could extend his legacy with another term, while <strong data-start=\"6044\" data-end=\"6062\">Tejashwi Yadav<\/strong> would lead the Opposition benches in the Assembly.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"6117\" data-end=\"6296\">For <strong data-start=\"6121\" data-end=\"6140\">Prashant Kishor<\/strong>, however, the results will serve as a political reality check \u2014 compelling him to rethink his strategy in one of India\u2019s most politically dynamic states.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"6298\" data-end=\"6556\">Whatever the outcome, the 2025 Bihar elections have already made history \u2014 not just for their <strong data-start=\"6392\" data-end=\"6441\">record voter turnout and female participation<\/strong>, but also for redefining the political grammar of India\u2019s heartland as one driven by <strong data-start=\"6527\" data-end=\"6556\">gender plus governance.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<div style=\"font-size: 0px; height: 0px; line-height: 0px; margin: 0; padding: 0; clear: both;\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the high-stakes Bihar Assembly elections conclude, the state has witnessed a historic voter turnout of 66.91 per cent. This event has been marked as&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":1420,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[299],"tags":[858,865,866,864,857,867,868,806,862,861,863,859,807,809,860],"class_list":["post-1419","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bihar-assembly-exit-poll-results","tag-bihar-counting-day","tag-bihar-development","tag-bihar-election-results-date","tag-bihar-elections-2025","tag-bihar-fdi","tag-bihar-politics","tag-bihar-voter-turnout","tag-bihar-women-voters","tag-jan-suraaj-party","tag-mahagathbandhan","tag-nda-victory-prediction","tag-nitish-kumar","tag-prashant-kishor","tag-tejashwi-yadav","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1419","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1419"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1419\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1434,"href":"https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1419\/revisions\/1434"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1420"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1419"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1419"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/newsraise.com\/in\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1419"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}